by Benn Roe » Tue Apr 30, 2019 5:50 pm
The problem is this: Trump won largely based on the support of three camps 1) Republicans who actually bought the shit he was selling; 2) Republicans who held their noses and voted for him anyway; and 3) weirdo independents who didn't care about policy, but just wanted the most likely candidate to burn down the house. Nobody the democrats field is pulling voters from the first two groups, and Biden definitely isn't pulling anyone from the third, same as Hillary. Bernie would have, though. Further, Biden (again, just like Hillary) isn't likely to bring out the left. They'll just stay home, because the left doesn't hold its nose; it just sits in its armchair and hopes the smell goes away. The only shot we've got is running a weirdo anti-establishment hard-left candidate, because moderate democrats (unlike the left) will still turn out to vote against Trump AND such a candidate would also bring out the left and convert the weirdo independents. The problem there is THAT candidate probably can't win the democratic primaries. So, we're fucked.
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